Colby and Nick talk John Scott vs. Raffi Torres, the New York Rangers, Vancouver vs. Toronto, the Winnipeg Jets, Marek Svatos and more. Also our suitemates made their usual weekly appearance by using the bathroom and being loud.
Author: Nick Lanciani
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Down the Frozen River Podcast #42- Enough About Goalies Already
Colby and Nick discuss Seattle, Jaroslav Halak, concussion spotters and more as they gripe about goaltending for what seems like the millionth time this season.
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Down the Frozen River Podcast #41- Edmonton and Halloween (feat. Mark Recchi- the pug)
Frank’s dog, Recchi, joins the DTFR crew this week as they discuss the Edmonton Oilers hot start, Halloween likes and dislikes and more on this week’s episode of the Down the Frozen River Podcast.
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Down the Frozen River Podcast #40- Goalies Galore
We didn’t really start talking about goalies like we wanted to until almost 20 minutes into the recording, so if that’s what you came here for, sit tight a minute (or 20).
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Down the Frozen River Podcast #39- Participation Trophies After One Game
The DTFR crew discusses some of the impressive starts to the 2016-2017 regular season and predicts this year’s award winners without watching the rest of the season.
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2016-2017 Projections- ARI and BOS
By: Nick Lanciani
Below are my projections for both the Boston Bruins and Arizona Coyotes as they were before either team played a game (I know the season started already, but I didn’t have enough time in a day to compile all of these exactly as I wanted to because I’m a perfectionist). So without further ado, here are some projected stats.
Keep in mind, every stat is based off of a player’s entire career and may not reflect well with the other stats projected for this current season (a.k.a. goals + assists might not equal the number of points shown in the points category), because again, each stat is forecasted individually.
Italics indicates a player currently with their respective AHL affiliate. Underlined player stats indicate a player on the IR (which, admittedly, I’ll do my best to keep up with, but might not have perfect every time, so forgive me if I mistakenly label an injury or fail to label one entirely).
Also, I don’t mess with predicting anything for rookies until they’ve played a few NHL games, so if you’re looking for how well one of them will do for your team here, sorry. Unlike last season, I won’t be able to update everything after every 10 games, but I’ll try my best to keep things updated after every 20 games (or so). At the very least, I’ll be sure to update things halfway through the season (41 games) on this page and whenever I get around to it for individual player’s based on their performance on Twitter (as exhibited by my Brad Marchand and David Backes related tweets below from Thursday night).
Likewise, I might add more Corsi projections than just Corsi for%.
Arizona Coyotes Projections- Game 0 of 82
Coyotes forwards

Coyotes goalies

Corsi for% projections for Arizona roster skaters

*indicates that the current projection is regarded as unreliable based on previous career performance (in other words, it’s an outlier)
Boston Bruins Projections- Game 0 of 82
Bruins forwards

Bruins goalies

Corsi for% projections for Boston roster skaters

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Forever Archived 2015-2016 Stats
By: Nick Lanciani
So I’m in the process of changing up how I’ll present some projected stats this season and moving forward (for now, at least). Having said that, there’ll be a few changes to the way this page works. For starters, it’s no longer a page, technically speaking, but I’m sure you don’t want to be bored with website construction stuff. This season I will be tracking two teams, the Boston Bruins (predictably) and the Arizona Coyotes (because they follow us on Twitter, so it’s like we’re best friends and I’m doing them a favor). Also, if John Chayka sees this, then maybe he should hire me. Please. Someone. Hello?
With the increasingly large swath of data that I have to trudge through and the many things I have going on in life currently (like looking at Corsi Twitter data for a content analysis using grounded theory— you bet it’s a lot of fun), it’s looking like I will only be able to update the projections after every 20 games or so, instead of after every 10 games. I’d love to project stats for every player in the NHL someday, but alas…
I’ve already completed projections for one of the two teams mentioned above and will be finishing the other team up by the weekend, so I’ll retroactively post how both teams are supposed to perform this season after the first couple of games have been played.
For now, I’ll leave you all with a memory of the golden days of how I did things just last season.
How I used to run my projected stats…
Using Microsoft Excel I display just how much I don’t have a life on this page. After every ten games or so, I update my projections for every player currently on the Boston Bruins, compile the results on one document, and then display my findings here for you to determine if someone’s doing well or not. As an armchair GM you can always wish that someone would get traded, but maybe now you’ll have something to back those demands up.
I would have tried to compile projections for every team in the NHL this season, however, I simply do not have enough of time currently to commit to that. Hopefully sometime this summer I’ll have a few more teams up here.
I will update the Bruins projections after every ten games and leave all of my findings for your viewing pleasure and so you can make your own analysis as the season progresses.
(Just click on the chart for slightly improved quality).
2015-2016 Season Projections
Boston Bruins Projections After 80 of 82 Games Played

Boston Bruins Projections After 70 of 82 Games Played

Boston Bruins Projections After 60 of 82 Games Played

Boston Bruins Projections After 50 of 82 Games Played
(my data after 50 games played deleted itself :,( sorry for the inconvenience)
Boston Bruins Projections After 40 of 82 Games Played

Boston Bruins Projections After 30 of 82 Games Played

Boston Bruins Projections After 20 of 82 Games Played

Boston Bruins Projections After 10 of 82 Games Played
Boston Bruins Projections Before the Start of the 2015-2016 Season
All career numbers are taken into account in the determination of the projected outcome. In determining projected Corsi for% I average the player’s current Corsi for% with their remaining projected Corsi for%. For S%, I average a player’s current shooting percentage with their remaining S% projection, therefore, the S% typically will not reflect what one would get from dividing the projected goal total from the projected shot total for each player.
Players listed in italics are currently in the AHL with the Providence Bruins. A player that is currently on the injured reserve is reflected by an underline and an “IR” notation in the Games Played column. For players that have yet to play an NHL game with the Bruins this season, I made my best projections based on their career statistics and if they happened to miraculously play in all of the remaining games this season for Boston.
Also, please note that for goaltenders in this chart, I have not determined how to reflect projections accurately- other than basing all numbers on if the goalie played in every game remaining in the season. For a more accurate representation, I anticipate to use similar playing time from the 2014-2015 season to project the 2015-2016 season sometime, however I am in the process of transitioning all goalie stats to another page on this site.
And finally, the numbers for goalies probably won’t always add up right (if you’re analyzing the numbers that much), because again, I haven’t learned how to predict the unpredictable- goalies are weird anyways. Until I figure out how to deal with goaltenders in their own special way, I have a rather generic preview of how they might do.
As I mentioned above, I’m in the process of transitioning Nick’s Net into a page dedicated to goalie stats and projections for every goalie in the NHL, so I might just pull all goalie notes from this page in the near future.
– Nick Lanciani
P.S. For a look at the process, here’s a glimpse of the Excel spreadsheet I work with.
*Corsi% denotes Corsi for%
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Down the Frozen River Podcast #38- Fantasy Kraft Rookies
The Down the Frozen River crew discusses Kraft Hockeyville, fantasy hockey and what to expect from some rookies this season. Also included, an injury report. As always, stayed tuned for weekly coverage of the latest news and notes around the NHL every week on the Down the Frozen River Podcast.
Here’s the latest results of our rookie poll:
Finals: Who do you think will win the Calder (rookie of the year)?
— Down the FrozenRiver (@DTFrozenRiver) October 6, 2016
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Down the Frozen River Podcast #37- 2016-2017 Season Preview: Metropolitan Division
The Down the Frozen River crew fills you in on all of the biggest offseason moves in the Metropolitan Division and previews how each team in the division will do in the upcoming 2016-2017 season. Also discussed, Zach Boychuk and the 2016 World Cup of Hockey Final thoughts.
We recorded this on Friday and Monday, due to scheduling and technology issues, so Boychuk got released from his PTO with the Arizona Coyotes in the meantime. We’re all upset by that, but maybe now the prodigal son can return to the Charlotte Checkers (please sign him guys) and/or hang out with us in Charlotte. Hit us up, Mr. Boychuk.
Join Colby, Frank and Nick as they discuss several of the Metropolitan Division’s offseason’s biggest acquisitions and other tidbits of information. As always, stayed tuned for weekly coverage of the latest news and notes around the NHL every week on the Down the Frozen River Podcast.

The Anaheim Ducks added
Youth is not just prevalent on the Arizona Coyotes roster this season, but in their front office as well, as 27-year-old, John Chayka, was hired as the youngest GM in NHL history.
Big and Bad are Backes. Wait, that’s not it. The Boston Bruins added
So the Buffalo Sabres look to do things this year. That’s a thing, I’m pretty sure. Major loss?
What did the Calgary Flames do this offseason? They got some goaltending.
Biggest additions:
2013, 2015— shoot, this year’s Stanley Cup Final is in an odd numbered year, isn’t it? Well, forget all of the season predictions, congrats to the Chicago Blackhawks. They’ll probably just insert some prospect alongside
The Colorado Avalanche added two Bourques to their team (
Zach Werenski made the team, so now they’ll have a defense. Oh, sorry, didn’t you there
The Dallas Stars have the same goaltending tandem of
The Detroit Red Wings added
Rogers Place looks pretty cool. 
The Los Angeles Kings most recently added
The Minnesota Wild added
The Montreal Canadiens traded
The Nashville Predators acquired
The New Jersey Devils restructured their forwards with the additions of
The New York Islanders added a lot of veteran presence to their noticeably Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum-less organization (yes, I took a shot at Barclays Center, there).
If winning the Jimmy Vesey sweepstakes counts for anything than the New York Rangers are winners. But they probably won’t be winners of much this season. Granted, they could make a playoff run (or miss it altogether), the same tune rings true, 
The Philadelphia Flyers already appear to be in midseason form, what with
The Pittsburgh Penguins have virtually the same team from Game 6 of the 2016 Stanley Cup Final and look to defend their championship title without
Just like the Penguins, the San Jose Sharks roster remains virtually untouched since their loss in Game 6 of the 2016 Stanley Cup Final, which kind of makes you wonder, did anyone remember that there was an offseason?
The St. Louis Blues will be consciously uncoupling with Ken Hitchcock at the end of the season in his farewell to coaching tour. Mike Yeo has already been named as his replacement and has begun barking out orders at practice, similar to his meltdown in Minnesota (though I have not confirmed that).
Auston Matthews.
The Washington Capitals acquired
Patrik Laine was selected 2nd overall at this year’s draft by the Winnipeg Jets, 


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