Down the Frozen River

Tag: Brogan Rafferty

  • Vancouver Canucks 2021-22 Season Preview

    Vancouver Canucks 2021-22 Season Preview

    2020-21 record 23-29-4, 50 points

    7th in the Scotia NHL North Division

    Missed the postseason for the first time since 2020

    Additions: F Justin Dowling, F Jason Dickinson (acquired from DAL), F Phil Di Giuseppe, F Sheldon Dries, F Conor Garland (acquired from ARI), F Nic Petan, F Sheldon Rempal, F John Stevens, D Kyle Burroughs, D Oliver Ekman-Larsson (acquired from ARI), D Brad Hunt, D Brady Keeper, D Tucker Poolman, D Luke Schenn, D Devante Stephens, G Jaroslav Halak, G Spencer Martin (acquired from TBL)

    Subtractions: F Sven Baertschi (signed with VGK), F Jay Beagle (traded to ARI), F Travis Boyd (signed with ARI), F Loui Eriksson (traded to ARI), F Tyler Graovac (KHL), F Jayce Hawryluk (SHL), F Kole Lind (expansion, SEA), F Lukas Jasek (Liiga), F Marc Michaelis (signed with Toronto Marlies, AHL), F Petrus Palmu (Liiga), F Antoine Roussel (traded to ARI), F Jake Virtanen (buyout, KHL), D Jalen Chatfield (signed with Chicago Wolves, AHL), D Alexander Edler (signed with LAK), D Mitch Eliot (signed with Rochester Americans, AHL), D Brogan Rafferty (signed with ANA), D Nate Schmidt (traded to WPG), D Ashton Sautner (signed with Abbotsford Canucks, AHL), D Josh Teves (signed with Rochester Americans, AHL), G Braden Holtby (buyout)

    Still Unsigned: F Elias Pettersson (RFA), F Jimmy Vesey, D Quinn Hughes (RFA), G Jake Kielly

    Re-signed: F Justin Bailey, F Brandon Sutter, D Guillaume Brisebois, D Travis Hamonic, D Olli Juolevi

    Offseason Analysis: Canucks General Manager, Jim Benning, has been busy this offseason undoing past misjudgments and moving Vancouver forward in other areas (however small they may be).

    At least he didn’t sign anyone to a head-scratching long-term contract the day that free agency began on July 28th this year.

    With about $10.664 million in cap space currently and Elias Pettersson as a restricted-free agent alongside Quinn Hughes, the Canucks still have some work to get done before the season begins or else they risk falling behind even further in the standings.

    While Pettersson would probably love to make about $9.000 or $10 million per season, he hasn’t exactly reached that status yet as a 22-year-old center with 153 points in 165 career games.

    A solid bridge contract is more likely in his future than, say, a long-term seven or eight-year deal.

    It may be kicking the can down the road to pay him later, but with 21 points (10 goals, 11 assists) in 26 games last season, there’s always the risk that his wrist injury might quite literally hurt his skilled hands in the near to long-term future.

    A bridge deal insures the Canucks of avoiding prolonging the salary cap hell that they’ve been through until Benning was able to dump most of it in Arizona via the trade with the Coyotes for Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Conor Garland.

    That said, Pettersson is worth paying a premium for to build off of Vancouver’s young core. He had 28-38–66 totals in 71 games in his first season in the league in 2018-19 and amassed 27-39–66 totals in 68 games prior to the COVID-19 pandemic being declared in the 2019-20 season.

    Hughes, on the other hand, is important to Vancouver’s future, but had a dip in production from 53 points (eight goals, 45 assists) in 68 games in his first full season in 2019-20 to 41 points (three goals, 38 assists) in 56 games last season.

    Nevertheless, for a defender to wrack up 40 or more points in a season is pretty good all things considered.

    Especially since Hughes is only 21-years-old and has plenty of track left on route to his potential.

    It should be easier to get a deal done with Hughes than Pettersson if the sticking point is that one sees themselves more valuable to the team than the other.

    If, for some reason, things went south between the Canucks and Pettersson, the Canucks could survive– albeit reminiscent of the last days of Pavel Bure with the franchise.

    In other words, you probably don’t want that to happen again.

    All right, what about what Vancouver has already taken care of this offseason, shall we?

    Jaroslav Halak left the Boston Bruins for the Canucks via free agency this summer and signed a one-year deal worth $1.500 million with another $1.500 million in performance bonuses to become the backup to Thatcher Demko, though Vancouver may prefer to utilize Halak and Demko as some sort of a 1A/1B tandem.

    Despite Halak’s 9-6-4 record in 19 games last season, he maintained a quality 2.53 goals-against average and a .905 save percentage with two shutouts in that span as Boston’s backup until Jeremy Swayman entered the conversation.

    In 2019-20, Halak and Tuukka Rask captured the William M. Jennings Trophy as the goaltender(s) with 25 or more games played that allowed the fewest goals against in that season.

    Halak went 18-6-6 in 31 games and had a 2.39 goals-against average, a .919 save percentage and three shutouts in that remarkable regular season run.

    It served as a reminder that Halak was once a surefire starting goaltender and could very well, in the event that was necessary, command a team from the crease as a starter once more.

    This after a 22-11-4 record in 40 games played with Boston in 2018-19, in which he had a 2.34 goals-against average, a .922 save percentage and five shutouts.

    But at 36-years-old, Halak’s time in the league is dwindling as he continues about the twilight of his career.

    At the very least, he brings in more stability in the crease than Braden Holtby did for Demko– and that’s precisely why the Canucks felt is was O.K. to buyout the remaining year of Holtby’s contract.

    The bulk of Benning’s work this offseason came via making trades.

    He most recently acquired goaltender, Spencer Martin, from the Tampa Bay Lightning on July 31st for future considerations to solidify depth in the event of injury or to at least provide the Abbotsford Canucks (AHL) with a quality starter.

    But earlier this summer, Benning kicked things off with a small grab for top-nine depth by sending the Dallas Stars a 2021 3rd round pick (73rd overall, Ayrton Martino) for forward, Jason Dickinson, on July 17th.

    Six days later, Benning phoned Bill Armstrong in Arizona and executed a trade that saved the Canucks almost $5.000 million in valuable cap space after sending Antoine Roussel, Jay Beagle, Loui Eriksson, a 2021 1st round pick (9th overall, Dylan Guenther), a 2022 2nd round pick and a 2023 7th round pick to the Coyotes for Ekman-Larsson and Garland’s signing rights before re-signing the latter to a five-year extension worth $4.950 million per season.

    Arizona retained 12% of Ekman-Larsson’s salary, thus shaving $990,000 off of his cap hit for Vancouver, who is assessed a cap hit of $7.260 million per season for Ekman-Larsson through 2026-27.

    With change coming to the blue line in Vancouver, Nate Schmidt reconsidered a trade he had initially rejected and informed Benning he would be fine being moved after all in a deal where the Canucks sent Schmidt to the Winnipeg Jets for a 2022 3rd round pick on July 27th.

    If Ekman-Larsson’s able to rebound from his decline– reaching 55 points in 75 games in 2015-16, then 39 points in 79 games the following season before rebounding with 42 points in 82 games in 2017-18 and 44 points in 81 games in 2018-19 prior to his dropoff again in 2019-20, where he had 30 points in 66 games and 2020-21, where he had 24 points in 46 games– then Benning might just be a mastermind after all.

    At the very least, Ekman-Larsson’s 24 points last season with Arizona was more than Schmidt had in 54 games with Vancouver, as Schmidt dropped from 31 points in 59 games with the Vegas Golden Knights in 2019-20 to 15 points in 54 games with the Canucks.

    Offseason Grade: B

    If the Canucks had signed Pettersson and Hughes to extensions already– and assuming they weren’t overpaying them– then Vancouver probably would get an “A” overall for their willingness to free themselves from past mistakes and try something new.

    Will they be as bad as they were last season? Probably not.

    Will they be “blow other teams out of the water” good this season? Also probably not.

    But at the very least, they’ve given themselves enough to work with in the next year or two to fill out the rest of their core and supplement their best players with better pieces of the puzzle.

    If, however, everything falls on their face, then I guess Vancouver is just cursed like that then, huh.

  • Anaheim Ducks 2021-22 Season Preview

    Anaheim Ducks 2021-22 Season Preview

    2020-21 record 17-30-9, 43 points

    8th in the Honda NHL West Division

    Missed the postseason for the third-straight year

    Additions: F Danny O’Regan, F Buddy Robinson, D Greg Pateryn, D Brogan Rafferty

    Subtractions: F Andrew Agozzino (signed with OTT), F Danton Heinen (signed with PIT), F Chase De Leo (signed with NJD), F Andrew Poturalski (signed with CAR), D Haydn Fleury (expansion, SEA), D Andy Welinski (signed with CGY), G Ryan Miller (retired)

    Still Unsigned: F David Backes, F Carter Rowney

    Re-signed: F Max Comtois, F Ryan Getzlaf, F Max Jones, F Isac Lundestrom, F Sam Steel, D Josh Mahura

    Offseason Analysis: All three California-based NHL teams missed out on the playoffs for the second year in a row (and third time overall since 1996), but there’s hope for 2/3 of the California teams in terms of turning things around a lot sooner rather than later.

    Both of them happen to be in southern California.

    Though the Ducks are behind the Los Angeles Kings by a year or two in both time spent in their ongoing rebuilds– as well as when they’re expected to be a playoff contender once again– Anaheim’s trending in the direction of a younger team with a tinge of experience gained from last season as Max Comtois led the way in scoring on the roster with 16-17–33 totals in 55 games.

    Troy Terry solidified a spot on the NHL roster and won’t have to spend any time fluctuating back and forth between the Ducks and the San Diego Gulls (AHL) after he managed to amass 7-13–20 totals in 48 games.

    Though Rickard Rakell and Jakob Silfverberg are often the subjects of trade rumors out of Anaheim, Rakell led the Ducks in assists last season with 19 helpers in 52 games, while Silfverberg had a more pedestrian season– notching 16 points in 47 games.

    At the very least, they’re two veterans that head coach, Dallas Eakins, can lean on as Anaheim’s youth continues to emerge and Ryan Getzlaf’s aging body wears down over time.

    That’s not to say that Getzlaf’s 17 points (five goals, 12 assists) in 48 games didn’t mean much for the Ducks, but rather that they won’t have to count on their 36-year-old captain for nearly as much as they used to get out of him– especially as his production is projected to continue to decline.

    Getting a full season on defense from Jamie Drysdale is likely to be a difference maker as the 19-year-old managed to put up 3-5–8 totals in 24 games from the blue line last season in his league debut after being selected 6th overall in the 2020 NHL Draft.

    His offensive contributions from the defense– at the very least as a two-way defender– should spark more rushes from a team that got stuck playing catch-up while attempting to bear hug their opponents from night-to-night in recent years.

    Cam Fowler and Josh Manson are set to turn 30 during the 2021-22 season, while Kevin Shattenkirk is currently the oldest defender on the roster at 32-years-old, but Hampus Lindholm and Jacob Larsson are familiar names that are just entering the cusp of their defensive primes, so really the Ducks just need to hit the back of the net more– as if that wasn’t already evidenced enough by their minus-53 goal differential last season.

    Granted, that does mean they’ll have to shore things up in their own end somewhat, but yeah, score more goals than the other team, win the game. Who would’ve thought?

    Don’t overplay John Gibson in the crease (seriously, no goaltender should be facing more than, like, 55 games in an 82-game schedule) and give Anthony Stolarz a chance to be a legitimate backup goaltender in the league– something in the Ducks’ coaching staff is working for him in the last two seasons.

    Gibson went 9-19-7 in 35 games with a 2.98 goals-against average, a .903 save percentage and three shutouts in that span, which was better and worse than his 20-26-5 record in 51 games in 2019-20, in which he had a 3.00 goals-against average and a .904 save percentage– as well as one shutout.

    With the exception of last season’s 56-game schedule, Gibson hasn’t faced fewer than 1,500 shots against since the 2016-17 season, which featured a run to the Western Conference Final for the Ducks.

    A drop in goals for production has hurt Gibson like a lack of run support spurns a starting pitcher in baseball.

    Meanwhile, Stolarz took on a bigger role as Anaheim’s backup towards the tale end of the season– forcing Ryan Miller into an early retirement, even though Miller earned the honors of the last game of the season.

    Stolarz put up a 4-3-0 record in eight games played and had a 2.20 goals-against average, a .926 save percentage and one shutout in that span, which was much better than Miller’s 4-8-2 record in 16 games to go with a 3.51 goals-against average and an .882 save percentage.

    Ideally, Anaheim would find a way to give both Gibson and Stolarz about 41 games each to generate healthy competition, but that’s not likely– especially with Gibson’s high profile around the league as one of the better goaltenders that’s just stuck in the unfortunate rut of a rebuilding team.

    Ducks General Manager, Bob Murray, had one thing to do this offseason and that was to not do anything, so he did (nothing, that is).

    Let things play out on their own and Anaheim will either show forward progress or get a chance to speed up their rebuild with another top-10 draft pick in 2022.

    At best they’ll be 6th in the Pacific Division and ahead of their counterparts in northern California– the San Jose Sharks. At worst they’ll be stuck in 8th.

    Offseason Grade: C

    If subjectivity had any influence on an offseason grade, Murray and the Ducks would get an “A” for doing what was recommended– virtually nothing. Seriously.

    It’s time for Anaheim to figure out what they have, where they still need to make a few improvements and otherwise to let their youth get experience and grow in their game.

    The Ducks recognize their situation and they have enough patience for now to be smart about things.

    With about $14 million to spend in cap space this season, Anaheim can be a trade deadline broker flipping and retaining salary on expiring or short-term contracts while yielding the profits of prospects and draft picks– that is how you rebuild.

    Even better, they’ll have about $44.4 million to spend next offseason, though with Getzlaf, Rakell, Lindholm and Manson headlining their pending-unrestricted free agent class.

  • Vancouver Canucks 2019-20 Season Preview

    Vancouver Canucks

    35-36-11, 81 points, 5th in the Pacific Division

    Missed the postseason for the fifth straight season

    Additions: F Justin Bailey, F Micheal Ferland, F Tyler Graovac, F J.T. Miller (acquired from TBL), F Francis Perron (acquired from SJS), D Jordie Benn, D Oscar Fantenberg, D Tyler Myers, G Zane McIntyre

    Subtractions: F Derek Dorsett (retired), F Brendan Gaunce (signed with BOS), F Markus Granlund (signed with EDM), F Tanner Kero (signed with DAL), F Tom Pyatt (traded to SJS, signed in SHL), D Derrick Pouliot (signed with STL), D Luke Schenn (signed with TBL), G Marek Mazanec (traded to TBL)

    Still Unsigned: F Yan-Pavel Laplante, D Ben Hutton, D Evan McEneny, G Michael Leighton

    Re-signed: F Reid Boucher, F Nikolay Goldobin, F Josh Leivo, F Tyler Motte, D Brogan Rafferty, D Josh Teves

    Offseason Analysis: The Vancouver Canucks didn’t sign overpay anyone on July 1st this offseason. Sure, signing Tyler Myers to a five-year deal worth $30.000 million may be a bit much, but then again, Myers is a 29-year-old defender still in his prime and brings a lot to cement the foundation of a blue line looking to improve.

    Canucks General Manager, Jim Benning, did his homework and improved his team in a trade rather than overspending for another bottom-six forward in free agency.

    Vancouver sent Marek Mazanec, a 2019 3rd round pick and a conditional 2020 1st round pick to the Tampa Bay Lightning for a bonafide top-six forward in J.T. Miller.

    Miller’s $5.250 million cap hit comes with four-years remaining on his contract at the young age of 26. In 75 games last season, Miller had 13 goals and 34 assists (45 points) with the Lightning, which was down from his 23-35–58 totals in 2017-18 with the New York Rangers and Tampa.

    Still, 40-50 points or more a season is a huge improvement for the Canucks, where head coach Travis Green has been looking for another piece to the puzzle in his top-nine.

    And speaking of Vancouver’s top-nine, they nabbed Micheal Ferland after an almost career-season with the Carolina Hurricanes, whereby Ferland’s first half of last season was off to a hot start, then cooled to one-point shy of his career-high with the Calgary Flames in 2017-18.

    Ferland finished last season with 17-23–40 totals in 71 games for the Hurricanes and had 21-20–41 totals in 77 games for the Flames prior to being traded last offseason.

    Versatility is finally in Vancouver’s lineup.

    They’ve added a couple of glue guys that they’ve always wanted Loui Eriksson to be– and they still have Eriksson, 34, on the roster through the 2021-22 season!

    Everything is pointing to wild card contention this season, except for the fact that Brock Boeser is still an unsigned restricted free agent.

    Boeser reportedly wants a four-year, $28 million ($7.000 million cap hit) deal, but the Canucks currently lack the cap space to make that happen with roughly $4.158 million available.

    Nevertheless, Benning’s job is simple this offseason– don’t mess up like in years past– and he’s actually done a good job making up for some past mistakes.

    Offseason Grade: A-

    Miller’s acquisition alone makes Vancouver more of a destination for players looking to agree to being traded to the Canucks leading up to the trade deadline as long as Vancouver’s in the playoff hunt– and that’s not even mentioning Quinn Hughes’ potential impact on the defense this season, while Bo Horvat likely takes on the “C”.

    If they don’t make the playoffs in 2020, the conditional 1st round pick in the Miller trade becomes a 2021 1st round pick, so if they’re going to tank at all, it better be this season (the 2020 draft is deeper than 2019, at least). It’s the 50th season for the Canucks and they’re looking to make a splash in their golden anniversary.